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incorrect because they contradict the fifth sentence of the paragraph, which clearly states that “all
substances found at a crime scene are potential sources of evidence.” Response E is incorrect
because the paragraph provides no information about the value of substances found somewhere
other than at the crime scene.
Part II. Inductive Reasoning
Postal Inspectors frequently must make decisions and draw conclusions when they have
incomplete information. In such cases, their conclusions have some probability of being true, but
they are not definitely true. In each of the questions of this type, you will be presented with a
paragraph of information and five response options. Your task is to select the response option
that can be validly concluded from the information given in the paragraph. Use only the
information provided in the paragraph. Do not speculate or make assumptions that go beyond
this information. Also, assume that all information given in the paragraph is true, even if it
conflicts with some fact that is known to you. Keep in mind that each question has only one
correct answer. In general, the questions deal with topics that are related to Government
business. Remember, however, that no job knowledge is required to answer the questions
correctly.
Sample Question. The alphanumeric coding of a fingerprint is a systematic description of the main
patterns on the print. Within a certain metropolitan district, 90% of the population have fingerprints that
can be alphanumerically coded.
From the information given above, it can be validly concluded that the fingerprints of a person from this
district, selected at random,
A) can be alphanumerically coded, with a probability of 10%
B) can be alphanumerically coded, with a probability of less than 90%
C) cannot be alphanumerically coded, with a probability of 10%
D) cannot be alphanumerically coded, with a probability of up to 90%
E) may be coded alphanumerically, but the probability is unknown
The correct answer is response C. We know from the second sentence that 90% of the people in
this district have fingerprints that can be coded. Therefore, we know that 10% (100%-90%=10%)
have fingerprints that cannot be coded. Given this information, the chance of selecting a person
from this district with fingerprints that can be coded is 90% and the chance of selecting a person
from this district with fingerprints that cannot be coded is 10%. Response A is incorrect because a
probability of 10% is an underestimate of the probability that the fingerprints of a person from this
district can be coded. Response B is incorrect because, like response A, it is an underestimate.
Response D is incorrect because it is an overestimate of the probability that the fingerprints of a
person from this district cannot be coded. Response E is incorrect because the probability that
the fingerprints can be coded is known to be 90%.
Sample Question. The printed output of some computer-driven printers can be recognized by
forensic analysts. The “Acme Model 200” printer was manufactured using two different inking
mechanisms, one of which yields a “Type A” micropattern of ink spray around its characters. Of all
Acme Model 200 printers, 70% produce this Type A micropattern, which is also characteristic of some
models of other printers. Forensic analysts at a crime lab have been examining a kidnap ransom note
which clearly exhibits the Type A micropattern.
From the information given above, it can be validly concluded that this note
A) was printed on an Acme Model 200 printer, with a probability of 70%
B) was printed on an Acme Model 200 printer, with a probability of 30%